Article
Spain vs. France: Betting Analysis
July 9, 2024
Tonight at 21:00, football fans will witness an exciting clash between Spain and France. As two of Europe's football giants face off, betting enthusiasts are already analyzing potential outcomes and making predictions. One particular area of interest is the total number of shots on target, including extra time, with a focus on whether it will be fewer than 8.5.
Betting Odds and Insights

Currently, the odds for fewer than 8.5 shots on target stand at 1.88 and 1.78, presenting a nearly even split but with a slight edge for under 8.5 shots. This bet is appealing to many, considering the playing styles and recent performances of both teams.

Defensive Strategies

France has been known for its ultra-defensive and efficient play in recent championships. Their approach focuses on minimizing risks and capitalizing on quick counterattacks, especially given the speed and skill of players like Kylian Mbappé. This strategy typically results in fewer overall shots but higher quality opportunities.


Spain, traditionally known for their "tiki-taka" style of play, has also adapted their game. The new version, often referred to as "tiki-taka 2.0," is more direct and faster-paced. They aim to move quickly from possession to attack, breaking away from their previous, often criticized, method of endlessly passing the ball without much penetration.

Match Dynamics

Given the high stakes of this semifinal, both teams are expected to play more cautiously. Spain, despite their recent shift towards a more aggressive style, might revert to a more controlled game plan to counteract the speed and threat posed by France's attackers. This adjustment could lead to fewer shots on target overall, aligning with the bet for under 8.5 shots.

Personal Betting Decision

Reflecting on these dynamics, the bet on fewer than 8.5 shots on target seems prudent. Despite Spain's more direct approach, the importance of the match and the need to respect France's counterattacking threat might push them towards a more conservative strategy. Thus, favoring the under in this context appears to be a reasonable decision.

Example Bet

  • Market: Total Shots on Target (Including Extra Time)
  • Bet: Under 8.5
  • Stake: 800 000 UGX
  • Potential Winnings: 1 500 000 UGX
  • Odds: 1.88


This bet highlights a cautious yet calculated approach to understanding the game dynamics and making an informed decision. As the match unfolds, it will be intriguing to see how these predictions hold up against the reality on the pitch.