Despite their strong overall performance, the Dutch defense has allowed a considerable number of shots on target in their recent games. They conceded 7 shots to Poland, 3 to France, and 5 to Austria. This statistic suggests that Romania, which is expected to have around 3 shots on target, could exploit these defensive gaps.

Razvan Marin, who currently plays for Empoli in Italy, is a key player for Romania. In the previous season, he was the fourth most frequent shooter for Empoli, averaging 1.2 shots per game. Marin's ability to take shots is evident from his performances in the current tournament as well.

Performance at the Euro

• Against Ukraine: 1 attempt (1 on target)
• Against Belgium: 2 attempts (0 on target)
• Against Slovakia: 3 attempts (2 on target)

Marin has been a consistent presence on the field, playing the full 90 minutes in the first two matches and being substituted in the 86th minute against Slovakia. His significant playing time and the trust of the coach indicate his importance to the team’s strategy.

Given the Netherlands' defensive lapses and Marin's propensity to shoot, the bet for Marin to have more than 0.5 shots on target seems promising. The odds are attractive at 2.70, and with a stake of 800 000 UGX, the potential return is 2 140 000 UGX.

Betting on Razvan Marin to have at least one shot on target against the Netherlands is a calculated risk with a favorable payoff. Marin's track record and the Netherlands' defensive shortcomings make this a compelling bet.