Malmö have been fairly consistent at home in recent European fixtures, conceding less frequently and often maintaining clean sheets.

Ludogorets have had mixed results on the road. Their scoring record shows they can find the net but also leak goals, especially when under pressure.

Forebet suggests the probability of a Ludogorets win is around 49%, compared to 29% for Malmö, with a 22% chance of a draw. The model predicts a fairly low-scoring affair, with an expected final score of 0-2 in favour of Ludogorets, and an average goals total of about 2.23.