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Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction and Tips
April 28, 2025
Chelsea and Liverpool are set for a blockbuster Premier League clash at Stamford Bridge on Monday, May 5, 2025, with kickoff scheduled for 1:30am AEST. With both sides battling for crucial points late in the season, this match promises high stakes and high drama. Using advanced predictive analytics and 10,000 simulations, Stats Insider provides an in-depth look at the likely outcome, the best bets, and what to expect.
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Chelsea head into this fixture with a relatively healthy squad, though they continue to monitor a few minor knocks among key players. Liverpool, meanwhile, will be without a couple of regular starters due to suspension and injury, putting extra pressure on their depth. Both teams are expected to field strong lineups, with tactical battles in midfield and on the wings likely to decide the match.

Prediction

According to Stats Insider’s simulations, Chelsea hold a slight edge with a 39.6% chance of victory, compared to Liverpool’s 36.9%. A draw remains a real possibility at 23.5%. While the odds favour Chelsea slightly, betting value leans toward Liverpool at $3.20. Expect goals too — the over 2.5 goals market is a strong play at $1.57. Final prediction: a thrilling contest with both sides scoring, and Liverpool potentially pulling off a narrow upset.